In Modest Praise of the Active Manager

There’s no doubt active managers are under the cosh right now. The Hymans Robertson findings show that active management, after paying fees, has achieved little or nothing for the Local Government funds. Michael Johnson of the Centre for Policy Studies sees no on-going active role in listed assets.

The problem is the solution. The solution seems to be passive management and passive management follows the herd. Down as well as up. The herd aren’t always right.

But it’s a hard job to convince the investor of that. In the age of defined contributions, it’s the member that needs convincing, not so much the company. And the individual investor is cautious. State Street research shows young investors, often new to pensions via auto-enrolment, are averse to risk. They don’t want to see decreases on their benefit statements -and they find it hard to rationalise that they should save at all if they can’t get the money until retirement.

Back to communications here. If the State Street conclusion was to be followed in practice, you end up with extreme caution, cash and bonds, lack of growth and potentially, a lack of pension. The long term investor needs to accept a degree of risk. Not to do so is to live in poverty in retirement. How we need that pension advice and education aimed at the member!

There is a role for the active investor in both defined benefit and defined contribution plans. They can add value, especially when everyone else is doing the same thing. Hymans results are disappointing but not conclusive to the demise of the active manager. Fees can be an issue. And communicating risk positively; even more so. But the demise of the active manger? Not while investment tactics can still produce superior returns when compared to a tracking computer.

Pensions Gone by 2050....

That’s the prediction of Michael Johnson from the Centre for Policy Studies. If that’s what the Centre would do, I’d retire them now!

Pensions get a lot of bad press and Johnson seems to be saying that not only will this continue (seemingly helped by his headlines in the Daly Telegraph: “Pensions will not exist by 2050”) but that youngsters will not invest in something so far into the future.

So far so old hat. It’s been the problem for as long as there has been a pension plan to join- we don’t think we will get old. We don’t think we can afford it, so put off the day. I remember presenting to some DJ’s at Kiss FM- talk about not accepting they were going to get old!

Johnson says that young people today should only invest in workplace pensions if their employer is making “sizeable” contributions and if they are 40 per cent taxpayers, meaning they get more tax relief. He says that if this is not the case then it is “almost certainly not worthwhile” for young people to save into a pension scheme. In the meantime, Johnson points to ISAs as the preferred investment.

With friends like Michael Johnson, who needs enemies? What a load of old…. retirement talk. The Auto-Enrolment of members of pension plans is good news. It means more will invest and more people will have more in old age. Of course there are problems to solve (annuities for example). And the pension may not be at levels akin to previous defined benefit plans, but it’s still a pension; an income in later years with tax benefits along the way, including tax free cash.

Longer term than ISAs and ensuring there is something there to make the final years good years, pensions are here to stay.

The term ‘retirement’ may fade away as people take part time jobs, live healthier longer and manage their life balance – but that’s another discussion entirely.